Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 10.178917 11.306693 12.520162 13.924948 15.508966 17.242673 19.287801
2025-08-10 8.073187 9.559432 11.276798 13.416253 16.021620 19.105795 23.054619
2025-08-17 6.690861 8.345230 10.371832 13.055345 16.542487 20.957379 27.028527
2025-08-24 5.747125 7.487046 9.725976 12.849103 17.141774 22.905842 31.351951
2025-08-31 5.074662 6.863313 9.265067 12.771432 17.836023 25.004057 36.129783
2025-09-07 4.656478 6.513830 9.105822 13.050753 19.015814 27.882987 42.414847
2025-09-14 4.207612 6.059763 8.732267 12.950443 19.591500 29.904446 47.653553
2025-09-21 3.790975 5.601775 8.293057 12.681088 19.845151 31.420186 52.255736
2025-09-28 3.476968 5.261739 7.988440 12.571734 20.315875 33.309555 57.730030
2025-10-05 3.325224 5.154039 8.026702 13.006920 21.722078 36.924743 66.807980
2025-10-12 3.178694 5.037901 8.034997 13.384071 23.060569 40.577790 76.530780
2025-10-19 2.991923 4.837287 7.882055 13.460546 23.860896 43.338140 84.940633
2025-10-26 2.770688 4.565034 7.591845 13.278265 24.191902 45.313389 92.221244
2025-11-02 2.564992 4.302424 7.295450 13.054669 24.420321 47.126782 99.507760
2025-11-09 2.379374 4.059260 7.011450 12.823386 24.603831 48.872302 106.966436
2025-11-16 2.224502 3.857861 6.784447 12.675960 24.935238 50.967251 115.621004
2025-11-23 2.097504 3.696454 6.616313 12.624846 25.456693 53.539604 125.914618
2025-11-30 2.024641 3.628819 6.617521 12.912695 26.734315 57.979275 141.790931
2025-12-07 1.912001 3.477016 6.443513 12.819174 27.158925 60.507389 153.176401
2025-12-14 1.789906 3.297802 6.200910 12.555423 27.164744 62.033819 162.136337
2025-12-21 1.695186 3.164771 6.039077 12.448457 27.517654 64.455258 174.125618
2025-12-28 1.662327 3.151504 6.118248 12.879417 29.200947 70.492011 198.119731
2026-01-04 1.624973 3.126131 6.169786 13.252689 30.791777 76.544170 223.640123